Weekly Checkup
July 8, 2015
Medicare Beneficiaries Growing as Percent of US Population since Program’s Inception
In the 50 years since the Medicare program was signed into law, it has become the second-largest expenditure in the federal budget, costing $600 billion in 2014.[1] Policymakers have become increasingly concerned recently with the expected growth of the Medicare-eligible population as the Baby Boomers begin to retire, at a rate of 10,000 per day, and the impact such growth will have on the program’s finances, and the federal budget. That concern is valid: in 20 years, the percent of the total U.S. population age 65 or older is expected to increase to 21 percent—a percentage-point increase more than double the growth among the elderly population in the first 50 years of the program.[2] However, while the retirement of the Baby Boomers will bring a rate of growth unseen thus far, the beneficiary population has been steadily growing as a percent of the population since the program’s inception. In 1966, Medicare beneficiaries equaled 9.7 percent of the U.S. population; by 2013, 16.6 percent of the population was receiving Medicare benefits.[3]